Hans Eilers

Ter inspirtie. Niet zo interessant dat het van Microsoft komt – eerder het beeld en de mogelijkheden.

njoy.

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dact-1Tdgz0&hl=en&fs=1&border=1]

Technological Darwinism: only the best technologies will survive. Better yet – only technologies strengthening existing human needs will survive. (me: a little vague – this could be argued for almost every technology)

Metatrends

• Lego web – web made up of widgets. Small(er) applications containing content & services. Widgets are used to increase brand awareness, service or product reach.
• More video
• More API’s
• Better usability – better ‘applications’. Making use of RIA technologies. Proving immediate feedback to user actions.
• Task oriented interfaces.

Trends
Social, inspirational & experience shopping.

Social shopping: shop with friends. Shop where others shop.

Inspirational shopping: shop-by-trend, shop-by-celerity , shop-by-personality.
Bring products in context. Not only on white background, but show a hamer being used in construction – for example ;)

Social shopping: Shop together, show other shoppers (other people bought, reviews). People don’t want to eat in empty restaurants – the same goes for empty shops. Try to bring this idea online. Social commerce, wEcommerce – i.e. making money out of your social network.

Bottomline: there are two important takeaways – make your content portable & maken beter (richer) content. Make you content portable because your customers want to choose where they consume your content – and most likely it’s not your website :)

Inspired by: Jungle Minds: Geert-Jan Smits on Trends in e-commerce

Microsoft gave a short demo of their new RIA framework Silverlight.

Using HD quality video they showed a video edit tool via the browser with a large set of functions. The app work smoothly and really impressed me. The demo was made by a company called Metaliq. The demo is not yet available for download – but will be soon.

Fox also has an good demo of the HD qualities of silverlight. Note the easy chapter selection at the top.

Not a bad show for silverlight. Marc Canter even had compliments for Silverlight adding that in his opinion this will be the Flash killer.

theWPFblog » Microsoft unleashes Silverlight with a focus on video

» The role of the desktop in Rich Internet Applications | The Universal Desktop | ZDNet.com
Good article on RIA’s and desktop convergence. Interesting view on Ajax as a desktop application…

The internet will become more serious and more commercial. Services that have been free will go commercial.

IE7 adoption rates will go up as Vista is shipped with new PC’s

Web 2.0 hype will slow down, people will wake up and know that because you can doesn’t mean you should.

RSS will increase to become mainstream. Used by humans and by webapplication for data exchange (Google Base).

Following this trend the web will use more and more structured data based on open standards.

Web Office, online office will be adopted by small and perhaps not so small business. Focus will be on productivity and TCO.

Use of RIA (Rich Internet Applications) will increase. Watch Adobe’s Apollo and Microsoft’s WPF

Google will release GoogleOS, based on an optimzed version of linux. Microsoft will fight Google with the Live services (of course tightly integrated with Vista). Google will buy Digg/Secondlife/Pandora/netvibes)

Internet-based TV will be huge. Meaning youtubeVnext and its competitors. Vista will find it’s way into the livingroom as mediacenter. Apple will wow the world with it’s own mediacenter! Sony will announce a mediacenter/playstation/ entertainment center. As will a Nokia consortium.

A bold one, Virtual money. A new currency will start to emerge… See Secondlife’s Lindex, Microsoft Points, Google…

Online real estate. Wow, certainly in the Netherlands, a war is raging. Consumers are turning away from traditional realtors and moving online. Competition is fierce and marketing budgets bulging. And ofcource there is much to be won.

E-learning will be used massively by third (& second) world countries.

MSOffice is going to start to die. Consumers will stop using Office at home, preferring online editors like Google Documents. Microsoft will come with online office, but this will be a paid service, and therefore not really take off.

Companies that will have success in 2007 Yahoo, Google, LinkedIn. Myspace’s popularity will shrink.

Weather Bonk – Live Weather, Forecasts, WebCams, and more on a Google Map (Groningen, NETHERLANDS )
Good usage of Google Maps.

» How eBay is developing with Adobe’s Apollo project | The Universal Desktop | ZDNet.com
Appollo – the online /offline RIA. One to watch.

Slashdot Google Web Toolkit Now 100% Open Source
Another free Ajax library. But isn’t this the one that acutally started al the madness?